Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.702842 7.380942 8.104227 8.934203 9.861627 10.867534 12.043171
2025-11-16 5.539817 6.453689 7.492208 8.764105 10.285732 12.054934 14.278285
2025-11-23 4.724089 5.775567 7.037609 8.673983 10.754043 13.328981 16.787521
2025-11-30 4.207820 5.370343 6.835735 8.836753 11.526207 15.055825 20.104819
2025-12-07 3.706699 4.910585 6.494414 8.758347 11.956593 16.381675 23.088096
2025-12-14 3.260321 4.462485 6.104635 8.549219 12.160568 17.402622 25.780632
2025-12-21 2.943966 4.151541 5.859053 8.498500 12.564381 18.740018 29.125111
2025-12-28 2.750981 3.991044 5.803296 8.708157 13.368698 20.769826 33.860752
2026-01-04 2.574343 3.832971 5.728934 8.871820 14.109550 22.783857 38.884298
2026-01-11 2.391026 3.644207 5.584381 8.900512 14.623179 24.476353 43.609151
2026-01-18 2.207437 3.436098 5.386079 8.813288 14.920227 25.820491 47.899133
2026-01-25 2.039249 3.236501 5.180642 8.687337 15.126029 27.015090 52.083539
2026-02-01 1.881676 3.043560 4.973077 8.543481 15.297004 28.197549 56.523579
2026-02-08 1.747784 2.878978 4.798608 8.439866 15.530250 29.533507 61.542530
2026-02-15 1.636272 2.743237 4.661608 8.389593 15.858775 31.104863 67.382651
2026-02-22 1.569742 2.680409 4.647824 8.569435 16.666694 33.785148 76.313489
2026-03-01 1.475498 2.559901 4.517766 8.508023 16.968339 35.419743 83.064119
2026-03-08 1.372883 2.415929 4.331511 8.314346 16.963664 36.368873 88.282589
2026-03-15 1.298487 2.318455 4.224716 8.270610 17.277712 38.091007 95.884361
2026-03-22 1.259535 2.284743 4.237718 8.477382 18.177769 41.339685 108.394046
2026-03-29 1.217971 2.242596 4.230070 8.638358 18.992439 44.508837 121.440765
2026-04-05 1.165516 2.175086 4.165600 8.667587 19.497691 46.973039 132.987478
2026-04-12 1.105800 2.088812 4.055751 8.583796 19.716594 48.721282 142.737049